Election 2020: It Feels Like Trump is Winning All Over Again
During the run-up to the 2016 presidential election, the polls did not jibe with public sentiment. On Main Street USA, everyday people were fed up with Washington elites lining their pockets and throwing working families under the bus. Inflated polls and loud-mouthed Democrats comforted liberals with assurances they would get at least another four years of progressive policies under a Hillary Clinton presidency. Those illusions were shattered when her house of cards toppled in the electoral college. Voter sentiment in the South, Heartland, and Southwest indicates that President Donald J. Trump is poised to sweep the 2020 election in the same way he did the 2018 election.
“Please take the fact that we are not ahead by double digits,” Biden campaign manager Jen O’Malley-Dillon reportedly said. “Those are inflated national public polling numbers.”
Unlike Hillary, who bought into the idea the election was more of a coronation than a political fight, Joe Biden’s people understand fake news outlets and biased polls mean nothing. They’re right to be worried because recent analysis of the polls that show the Democrat with massive leads are tainted. CNN — considered the leader in fake news — touted a national poll declaring Biden enjoyed a ridiculous 16-point lead.
“The reality is that this race is far closer than some of the punditry we’re seeing on Twitter and on TV would suggest,” O’Malley-Dillon reportedly stated. “Even the best polling can be wrong and that variables like turnout mean that in a number of critical swing states, we are fundamentally tied.”
Adding weight to Biden campaigns admission about tainted polls is the fact that pollsters are repeating the same mistake that led them to be so wrong in 2016. Last election cycle pollsters knowingly surveying far more registered Democrats than Republicans, tainting the polls. These days, political mouthpieces are trying to bail themselves out by claiming “shy Trump” supporters don’t respond to polls. Regardless of whether they purposely rely on left-wing input or not, there are telltale signs dispelling the myth Biden is firmly in front.
In battleground states such as North Carolina, Vice-Presidential candidate Senator Kamala Harris held a rally that attracted no more than six people. That’s not a misprint — six — and they may have been campaign surrogates meaning no one showed up. National polls indicate the race is dead-even in North Carolina.
When not hiding from COVID and questions about corruption, Biden consistently suffers low voter turnout. By contrast, President Trump’s rallies have swelled into the thousands despite concerns about the virus. Democrats may criticize the president’s supporters, but their passion appears to be even more intense than in 2016.
Mail in balloting gave Democrats a huge leg up in the key swing state of Florida. It is wildly predicted that whoever wins Florida will win the election. But since the earliest days of voting in Florida, Republican voters have been chipping away at the Democrats ballot lead. The Sunshine State was considered a definite Hillary win right up until the moment she lost it.
As the election grows increasingly near, even those polls that gave hardline Democrats emotional support are fading. Recent reports point to a quickly evaporating lead for Biden in Michigan, and Wisconsin. And after Biden admitted in last Thursday’s debate he wants to “transition out of the oil industry” he sealed his losing fate in the key swing state of Pennsylvania where fracking is a major industry. President Trump carried all 3 swing states by fractions in 2016.
But one polling outfit the establishment media doesn’t like to talk about is the Trafalgar Group. In 2016, Trafalgar didn’t buy into the Hillary hype, they correctly predicted Trump’s win. This time around the organization’s head pollster, Robert Cahaly, is predicting a repeat of 2016 and explained why he thinks Trump will win once again.
“What we’ve noticed is that these polls are predominantly missing the hidden Trump vote. There is a clear feeling among conservatives and people that are for the president that they’re not interested in sharing their opinions readily. These people are more hesitant to participate in polls. So, if you’re not compensating for this, you’re not going to get honest answers,” Cahaly reportedly said. “I see the president winning with a minimum high 270s and possibly going up significantly higher based on just how big this undercurrent is.”
It feels like déjà vu all over again.