Every Forecasting Model Predicts 2020 Trump Landslide
Every major forecasting model is now predicting an electoral college landslide victory for President Donald J. Trump in 2020. That’s got to be a great feeling for presumptive Democrat nominee Pete Buttigieg!
Trump’s victory in 2020 will be truly remarkable, especially when you consider the fact that he was just impeached (sort of) by the US House of Representatives. A win in 2020 will be just another in a long string of wins for the MAGA outsider president.
None of this information is presented as a means of encouraging you to stay home on November 3, 2020. In fact, the predictions depend on all of us doing our sacred duty and carrying our cold fury against the Democrat Party’s insanity into the ballot box and voting for a second Trump-Pence term.
We know the Democrats will cheat and stuff ballot boxes and rely on illegal alien voters and invalid foreign national votes to try to steal the election – so, we all have to do our part to ensure Trump’s second term.
Meanwhile, look first to Virginia. After winning Democrat majorities in the state Assembly and Senate, the progressive victors say they will march law enforcement and possibly the National Guard into every citizen’s home to confiscate all lawfully owned firearms. The backlash to this totalitarian impulse has been tremendous.
More than 90% of the counties and many cities in Virginia have now declared themselves to be Second Amendment sanctuaries. The Democrats’ gun-grabbing impulse is so opposed to the US Constitution that the citizenry, sheriff’s departments and police departments are vowing that new laws will not be enforced.
These proposed gun-grabbing laws are invalid – they are no law at all.
Pro tip for politicians: When your policy prescriptions encourage housewives to purchase sniper ghillie suits for the whole family for Christmas, you’ve probably stepped in something you shouldn’t have.
Prediction: Virginia will swing back to Red State status in 2020. While Hillary Clinton won those 13 electoral college votes in 2016, it won’t even be close in 2020. Patriotic Virginians will be at the ballot box in record numbers to send a message to their feckless, hopelessly anti-American leaders.
In other forecasting models, Trump is also winning by a landslide. Moody’s uses three separate forecasting models to predict election outcomes. While Moody’s predictions were disastrous in 2016 (they called everything for Hillary, just like everyone else did), they have made major adjustments to their models for 2020. Here are the results.
First, the Stock Market Model predicts a Trump victory by 289 electoral college votes to 249. Trump won in 2016 by a margin of 304 to 227, so this narrow prediction from Wall Street indicators makes sense.
The Democrats are now the party of hedge fund billionaires and Wall Street – but even Wall Street is rejecting them thanks to the wild, impossible-to-fulfill socialist promises of the 2020 Democrat candidates.
Second, the Moody’s Unemployment Model predicts a Trump victory by a margin of 332 electoral college votes to 206. This model also makes sense. We’re now approaching nearly full employment in the US, thanks to Donald Trump waving the magic economy wand that Barack Obama sniffed about and claimed was impossible. (“Those jobs are never coming back!”)
When unemployment remains low, the voters are highly unlikely to kick the president out of office, regardless of which party he’s in. Note that a 332 to 206 outcome would mean that Trump wins Virginia and at least one more state that he lost to Hillary Clinton in 2016.
Third, the Moody’s Pocketbook Model projects a staggering Trump victory, by a margin of 351 electoral college votes to 187. The Pocketbook Model is pretty simple for economists to figure out as well. What’s in your pocketbook today? Does it look better than it did when the president started his first term in office?
For most Americans, the answer is a resounding “Yes.” Middle class wages that have been stagnant since the Immigration Act of 1965 are finally starting to increase, even though they’re still outpaced by inflation. Trump’s trade policy against China will do wonders to correct that problem in time, but in the meantime, the equation is really simple for voters: “Is my life better now than it was in 2016?”
By those metrics, Trump is headed for a landslide victory in 2020. All we have to do is hold up our end of the bargain, by turning out to vote for him.